Browsing the archives for the The Earth category

UNCERTAINTY

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Economy, Heavy Lifting, Investing, The Earth, Thoughts

Those who comment on the financial markets often mention that what is most obvious is uncertainty – those who trade in markets are uncertain about the future. In previous times there has not been firm certainty about the future, yet the current feeling is one of malaise (nod to President Carter).

It’s just not knowing whether markets are going up or down the next day; it’s more than that. It’s not knowing whether life will be as it has been in the past. It’s not just markets; it’s global warming, flooding major cities, population explosion, food and water shortages.

Who is certain that the global warming crisis will be solved in time (Humans do not solve problems that are not imminent)? What will happen when major seaboard cities have become unlivable? Where will the inhabitants have gone? What will happen when the poor in a country are fighting the rich for food and water? What will happen when poor undeveloped countries are “fighting” rich, developed countries for food and water?

It’s too late for contraception to head off the population explosion. The effects may be resolved by a nuclear war or the outbreak of a killer virus.

The people who trade in financial markets have these things in the backs of their minds. The man in the street on streets around the world have these things in the backs of their minds as they distrust their governments and other institutions to improve their lives. Even the Pope senses his church has “gone wrong.” He hopes trying to right its course may save it and its mission.

Our main certainty may be that no one and no movement can save us from possible calamities that will be the solutions to our major concerns.

The Dragonfly

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The Earth, The Universe

File:Sympetrum flaveolum - side (aka).jpg

As I looked out my window yesterday I saw a dragonfly near wires across the way. It seemed to be struggling with some problem I couldn’t see, but as the sunlight caught it just right I could see it had become entangled in a long single strand of cobweb. The spider-owner was nowhere in sight. It’s rare that a dragonfly stays in one place long enough to be photographed, so thinking this was an unusual opportunity I reached for a camera. Because of the distance,the dragonfly’s size and the limitations of the available camera I was not able to get a clear picture (the photo above from Wikipedia was certainly not the one I took). The photo I might have hoped to get actually comes from fir0002 | flagstaffotos.com.au

I didn’t want to leave my place yesterday. Somehow I felt hanging around to watch would help it in its struggle to become free again. As I watched, first one, then eventually 4 dragonflies, arrived circling around their caught compatriot. I thought they might be wanting to help free it, but from what I read in Wikipedia they might instead have had the intention to help eat it. After spending my afternoon at the beach, I arrived home dreading what I would see as I looked across to where the caught Dragonfly had been. It was gone! I had to imagine what the scenario was that I had missed. I decided that the outcome had been a good one. Its continual struggles had paid off, and it had freed itself. Any spider that might have owned the web would have been in danger of being eaten itself by the Dragonfly if it had come out to attempt to complete its web.

Investing in Gold and Other Thoughts

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Economy, Investing, The Earth, Thoughts

Quantitative easing, that I don’t really understand, is a reflating tool. I had to look up “reflating” this morning since Bill Gross used it in his latest Tweet. I’m sorry, Bill, I didn’t see how you “got it wrong” on the Barron’s Roundtable, but I forgive you, since I always felt anything I took away from watching one of those sessions was a worthless investing idea. Different opinions on relating/inflating/deflating are floating through the economic ether and no one can know for sure NOW which is right. Will reflating be inflationary in the bad sense of the word? It might be but who can be sure whether it will be good for the price of gold?

When I sit back and look up this is getting really complicated. Near term the United States and the dollar are riding high. Reflating is not likely to bring down either one. Long term the period of US ascendancy on the world stage is coming to an end. The buying power of the emerging world-wide middle class is likely to be inflationary with bumps and starts. There will be buying pressure on basic commodities, food, water and energy, but not necessarily on gold.

My conclusion from this thinking is that both near term and long term gold is not a “sure bet.” Until today my thinking was short, medium and even long term gold was not a good investment, but VERY long term it might be. Has this opinion changed? I’m not sure. Long term for sure basic commodities, food, water and energy would be good investments. They may also be good near term investments as smart money begins to seek them out.

Gold is likely to have a good “reflexive rebound.” Will this be a good time to get permanently out?

Trees Are Blooming Again in Balboa Park

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Health, The Earth, United States, Wisdom I Have Learned

The title says it all.

Wouldn’t you prefer to be sitting here?

 

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Or standing here?

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(if you like one click on it for a bigger view)

This shows how it’s done:

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And then there’s these:

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TO SEE LOTS MORE

Seemed Peaceful

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The Earth, United States

Hunter-Gatherer or Farmer

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Gardening, Heavy Lifting, The Earth, Thoughts

One question is which is better for the health of us humans.  One student of the evolution of humans from hunter-gatherers opined it was the worst thing to happen to the human race: people had to work long hours most days instead of the estimated twenty hours a week that hunter-gatherers spent getting food (sometimes one another but I digress ). The farmers suffered more from disease because of living and working close together and they also didn’t live as long as those who weren’t eaten.  Also discoveries have revealed the earlier humans were as much as 6 inches taller than the later farmers.

The next question becomes why did they segue into farmers if it turned out to be unhealthy. There are a lot of reasons, all of which I don’t recall. One I recall is there was a big drought, and large groups of humans discovered each other as they gathered at one of the few extant oases. From this they drifted into farming to have a reliable food supply. Agriculture led to a stratification of classes; perhaps that stratification led to agriculture. With agriculture came monogamy or at least the virtue of the female as desirable, especially since it allowed the male to be sure which children were his. Free love died along with the cultivation of wheat! But, then they did have more time and the ingredients for making beer – there are always compensations.

History of the Continents

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Beginnings, Heavy Lifting, The Earth, The Universe, United States

When I recently visited the Los Angeles Natural History Museum Dinosaur Exhibit I saw an animation of the movement over time of what now are the continents. This is such an animation. WATCH IT IN FULLSCREEN